Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-06-24 · 11:10

WESTLANDS ROAD HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 2 ("WESTLANDS ROAD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-24 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ALL ARE MINE, ridden by A Badel and trained by B Crawford, won, with ORIENTAL SURPRISE second and IRON LEGION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:40.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/XB 1:40.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · B Crawford 2 4.2
2 11 ORIENTAL SURPRISE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 6.3 1-1/4
3 2 IRON LEGION Led early H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 50.0 1-3/4
4 10 SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting 5 8.5 2-3/4
5 8 WINDICATOR FAMILY V H Bowman · W K Mo 12 7.1 4-1/4
6 7 POWER SUMMIT Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D Eustace 6 21.0 4-1/2
7 4 SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 9 17.0 4-3/4
8 1 MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 1 9.3 6-1/4
9 5 MEGA FORCE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng 7 42.0 6-1/2
10 3 SMART CITY CP-/V2 M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 14.0 8
11 6 ZETTA FORCE TT C L Chau · C H Yip 4 10.0 10-1/2
12 12 THE WAY WE WIN B/TT H T Mo · J Richards 10 7.4 23
0 SETANTA B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham
0 CASA LEGEND P/TT · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL ARE MINE2. ORIENTAL SURPRISE+1.25L3. IRON LEGION+1.75L4. SMILING EMPEROR+2.75L5. WINDICATOR FAMILY+4.25L6. POWER SUMMIT+4.5L7. SPANGLE FORTUNE+4.75L8. MATSU VICTOR+6.25L9. MEGA FORCE+6.5L10. SMART CITY+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ORIENTAL SURPRISE (23.5%) finished 2nd — the winner ALL ARE MINE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 23.5% 4.26 2
2 8 WINDICATOR FAMILY 12.2% 8.18 5
3 9 ALL ARE MINE 10.6% 9.42 1
4 12 THE WAY WE WIN 9.1% 11.04 12
5 1 MATSU VICTOR 8.2% 12.22 8
6 10 SMILING EMPEROR 7.5% 13.29 4
7 6 ZETTA FORCE 7.4% 13.52 11
8 3 SMART CITY 6.0% 16.57 10
9 7 POWER SUMMIT 5.1% 19.59 6
10 5 MEGA FORCE 4.0% 25.15 9
11 4 SPANGLE FORTUNE 3.5% 28.74 7
12 2 IRON LEGION 3.0% 33.80 3
ORIENTAL SURPRISEWINDICATOR FAMILYALL ARE MINE — wonTHE WAY WE WINMATSU VICTORSMILING EMPERORZETTA FORCESMART CITYPOWER SUMMITMEGA FORCESPANGLE FORTUNEIRON LEGION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 42

PLACE

2 113

9 17.5

11 23.5

QUINELLA

9,11 149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 323.5

2,11 472

9,11 61

FORECAST

9,11 279

TIERCE

9,11,2 7,318

TRIO

2,9,11 1,923

FIRST 4

2,9,10,11 2,531

QUARTET

9,11,2,10 55,150

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/9 331

3/11 39