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Happy Valley · 2026-06-24 · 20:10

MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:40.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 BLOSSOMY Closed strongly B 1:40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 3 15.0 —
2 3 CHARMING LEGEND Led early J Moreira · C Fownes 6 17.0 1
3 5 VIVACIOUS WIN Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace 2 1.5 2-3/4
4 7 SHOOTING TO TOP B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 11 11.0 3
5 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 17.0 4-1/4
6 4 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 8 12.0 5
7 2 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 4 14.0 5-3/4
8 9 STORM RUNNER PC/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 5 27.0 5-3/4
9 10 COLOURFUL GAN B B Avdulla · D J Whyte 1 25.0 7
10 11 GAZELEY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 7 62.0 7-1/4
11 12 WHOWROTETHATSONG TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 84.0 9-1/4
12 6 STAR MAC B/TT K Teetan · D J Hall 10 45.0 10-1/2
— 0 JOLTIN TT · D A Hayes — — —
— 0 GALLANT DESIGN B/TT · J Richards — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BLOSSOMY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won, with CHARMING LEGEND second and VIVACIOUS WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite VIVACIOUS WIN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BLOSSOMY—2. CHARMING LEGEND+1L3. VIVACIOUS WIN+2.75L4. SHOOTING TO TOP+3L5. EXCEED THE LIMIT+4.25L6. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+5L7. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+5.75L8. STORM RUNNER+5.75L9. COLOURFUL GAN+7L10. GAZELEY+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VIVACIOUS WIN (58.5%) finished 3rd — the winner BLOSSOMY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 VIVACIOUS WIN 58.5% 1.71 3
2 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT 6.2% 16.01 5
3 8 BLOSSOMY 5.9% 16.85 1
4 4 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 4.6% 21.75 6
5 3 CHARMING LEGEND 4.4% 22.79 2
6 7 SHOOTING TO TOP 4.2% 23.66 4
7 2 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 3.9% 25.69 7
8 6 STAR MAC 3.4% 29.66 12
9 10 COLOURFUL GAN 2.7% 36.62 9
10 9 STORM RUNNER 2.7% 36.64 8
11 12 WHOWROTETHATSONG 1.9% 52.51 11
12 11 GAZELEY 1.5% 65.62 10
VIVACIOUS WINEXCEED THE LIMITBLOSSOMY — wonGLORIOUS JOURNEYCHARMING LEGENDSHOOTING TO TOPCALIFORNIA MOXIESTAR MACCOLOURFUL GANSTORM RUNNERWHOWROTETHATSONGGAZELEY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 151.5

PLACE

3 43

5 13

8 33

QUINELLA

3,8 1,061

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 60

3,8 261.5

5,8 45

FORECAST

8,3 2,706

TIERCE

8,3,5 7,989

TRIO

3,5,8 563

FIRST 4

3,5,7,8 1,278

QUARTET

8,3,5,7 98,650

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/3 295.5

5/8 543.5