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Happy Valley · 2026-06-24 · 12:10

MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 4 ("MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BLOSSOMY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won, with CHARMING LEGEND second and VIVACIOUS WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite VIVACIOUS WIN finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:40.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 BLOSSOMY Closed strongly B 1:40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 3 15.0
2 3 CHARMING LEGEND Led early J Moreira · C Fownes 6 17.0 1
3 5 VIVACIOUS WIN Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace 2 1.5 2-3/4
4 7 SHOOTING TO TOP B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 11 11.0 3
5 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 17.0 4-1/4
6 4 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 8 12.0 5
7 2 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 4 14.0 5-3/4
8 9 STORM RUNNER PC/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 5 27.0 5-3/4
9 10 COLOURFUL GAN B B Avdulla · D J Whyte 1 25.0 7
10 11 GAZELEY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 7 62.0 7-1/4
11 12 WHOWROTETHATSONG TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 84.0 9-1/4
12 6 STAR MAC B/TT K Teetan · D J Hall 10 45.0 10-1/2
0 JOLTIN TT · D A Hayes
0 GALLANT DESIGN B/TT · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BLOSSOMY2. CHARMING LEGEND+1L3. VIVACIOUS WIN+2.75L4. SHOOTING TO TOP+3L5. EXCEED THE LIMIT+4.25L6. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+5L7. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+5.75L8. STORM RUNNER+5.75L9. COLOURFUL GAN+7L10. GAZELEY+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VIVACIOUS WIN (58.5%) finished 3rd — the winner BLOSSOMY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 VIVACIOUS WIN 58.5% 1.71 3
2 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT 6.2% 16.01 5
3 8 BLOSSOMY 5.9% 16.85 1
4 4 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 4.6% 21.75 6
5 3 CHARMING LEGEND 4.4% 22.79 2
6 7 SHOOTING TO TOP 4.2% 23.66 4
7 2 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 3.9% 25.69 7
8 6 STAR MAC 3.4% 29.66 12
9 10 COLOURFUL GAN 2.7% 36.62 9
10 9 STORM RUNNER 2.7% 36.64 8
11 12 WHOWROTETHATSONG 1.9% 52.51 11
12 11 GAZELEY 1.5% 65.62 10
VIVACIOUS WINEXCEED THE LIMITBLOSSOMY — wonGLORIOUS JOURNEYCHARMING LEGENDSHOOTING TO TOPCALIFORNIA MOXIESTAR MACCOLOURFUL GANSTORM RUNNERWHOWROTETHATSONGGAZELEY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 151.5

PLACE

3 43

5 13

8 33

QUINELLA

3,8 1,061

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 60

3,8 261.5

5,8 45

FORECAST

8,3 2,706

TIERCE

8,3,5 7,989

TRIO

3,5,8 563

FIRST 4

3,5,7,8 1,278

QUARTET

8,3,5,7 98,650

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/3 295.5

5/8 543.5