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Happy Valley · 2026-06-24 · 13:10

CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 6 ("CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DANICA'S CHOICE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won, with CLOUD NINE second and GOOD LUCK HAPPY third. The 3.4 favourite SPIRIT OF PEACE finished 6th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 DANICA'S CHOICE B 1:09.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man 10 6.2
2 6 CLOUD NINE B- L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 12.0 3/4
3 3 GOOD LUCK HAPPY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 11.0 1
4 8 GRACEFUL HEART CP/XB C L Chau · K W Lui 1 8.5 4-1/4
5 7 BITS SUPERSTAR P N Wong · D J Hall 5 29.0 4-1/2
6 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE P Z Purton · J Size 3 3.4 4-3/4
7 4 GEORGIAN SIGMA B B Avdulla · P C Ng 2 4.4 5
8 9 FREE PONY P K Teetan · C W Chang 12 57.0 6
9 12 KING ALLOY B M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 11.0 8
10 5 RYUI KOKOROE BO C Y Ho · D A Hayes 7 26.0 8-1/4
11 11 JOY STAR CP-/B1/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 4 16.0 12-1/2
12 10 FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · J Richards 11 74.0 14-3/4
0 MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT · D Eustace
0 LOOKING BRIGHT H/TT · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DANICA'S CHOICE2. CLOUD NINE+0.75L3. GOOD LUCK HAPPY+1L4. GRACEFUL HEART+4.25L5. BITS SUPERSTAR+4.5L6. SPIRIT OF PEACE+4.75L7. GEORGIAN SIGMA+5L8. FREE PONY+6L9. KING ALLOY+8L10. RYUI KOKOROE+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SPIRIT OF PEACE (37.8%) finished 6th — the winner DANICA'S CHOICE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE 37.8% 2.65 6
2 4 GEORGIAN SIGMA 15.4% 6.48 7
3 7 BITS SUPERSTAR 8.7% 11.50 5
4 3 GOOD LUCK HAPPY 7.4% 13.58 3
5 12 KING ALLOY 5.4% 18.48 9
6 2 DANICA'S CHOICE 5.0% 20.09 1
7 6 CLOUD NINE 5.0% 20.15 2
8 8 GRACEFUL HEART 4.1% 24.11 4
9 9 FREE PONY 3.7% 27.02 8
10 11 JOY STAR 3.0% 32.99 11
11 5 RYUI KOKOROE 2.7% 37.07 10
12 10 FUN ELITE 1.8% 56.45 12
SPIRIT OF PEACEGEORGIAN SIGMABITS SUPERSTARGOOD LUCK HAPPYKING ALLOYDANICA'S CHOICE — wonCLOUD NINEGRACEFUL HEARTFREE PONYJOY STARRYUI KOKOROEFUN ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 62

PLACE

2 23.5

3 31.5

6 37.5

QUINELLA

2,6 405

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 173.5

2,6 143

3,6 281.5

FORECAST

2,6 969

TIERCE

2,6,3 13,651

TRIO

2,3,6 2,461

FIRST 4

2,3,6,8 5,058

QUARTET

2,6,3,8 128,632

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

2/2 591.5

2/6 68.5