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Happy Valley · 2026-06-24 · 19:40

MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:40.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 FLYING FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1:40.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W K Mo 2 4.6 —
2 2 MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui 12 6.3 3/4
3 12 STAR FIGURE Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · J Richards 8 15.0 1-3/4
4 6 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 11 19.0 2-3/4
5 11 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly CP M F Poon · D J Hall 1 7.5 2-3/4
6 1 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly H Bowman · M Newnham 4 4.7 3-1/2
7 8 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 7.9 4
8 4 VICTOR THE RAPID B-/CP1/TT2 C L Chau · P C Ng 10 58.0 4-3/4
9 3 IVY LEAGUE Led early SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 8.7 5
10 9 TURIN WARRIOR XB L Ferraris · K L Man 5 16.0 5
11 10 HEALTHY PONY CP-/H/P1 M Chadwick · C W Chang 3 63.0 5-1/4
12 7 LUCKY TOGETHER H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 7 22.0 7-1/2
— 0 PODIUM B/TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE CP · B Crawford — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("MORRISON HILL ROAD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLYING FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W K Mo, won, with MIGHTY STEED second and STAR FIGURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING FORTUNE—2. MIGHTY STEED+0.75L3. STAR FIGURE+1.75L4. TAKE ACTION+2.75L5. NORTHERN BEAST+2.75L6. CASA ROCHESTER+3.5L7. NOBLE PURSUIT+4L8. VICTOR THE RAPID+4.75L9. IVY LEAGUE+5L10. TURIN WARRIOR+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CASA ROCHESTER (15.4%) finished 6th — the winner FLYING FORTUNE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CASA ROCHESTER 15.4% 6.49 6
2 5 FLYING FORTUNE 14.5% 6.90 1
3 8 NOBLE PURSUIT 13.6% 7.37 7
4 2 MIGHTY STEED 12.7% 7.90 2
5 3 IVY LEAGUE 12.4% 8.06 9
6 11 NORTHERN BEAST 7.0% 14.37 5
7 6 TAKE ACTION 6.5% 15.32 4
8 9 TURIN WARRIOR 4.7% 21.25 10
9 12 STAR FIGURE 4.4% 22.48 3
10 7 LUCKY TOGETHER 4.2% 23.62 12
11 4 VICTOR THE RAPID 2.7% 37.41 8
12 10 HEALTHY PONY 1.9% 52.33 11
CASA ROCHESTERFLYING FORTUNE — wonNOBLE PURSUITMIGHTY STEEDIVY LEAGUENORTHERN BEASTTAKE ACTIONTURIN WARRIORSTAR FIGURELUCKY TOGETHERVICTOR THE RAPIDHEALTHY PONY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 46

PLACE

2 21

5 15.5

12 45.5

QUINELLA

2,5 156

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 54

2,12 160

5,12 131.5

FORECAST

5,2 203

TIERCE

5,2,12 2,555

TRIO

2,5,12 665

FIRST 4

2,5,6,12 1,615

QUARTET

5,2,12,6 24,538

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,9,11/2,5,12 373,658

2ND DOUBLE

9/2 75

9/5 217