跑馬地 · 2019-10-09
第 1場
2019-10-09跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的STARLOT勝出，贏出1/2。NASHASHUK獲得亞軍；GOUTEN OF GARO獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門GOUTEN OF GARO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STARLOT B 1.10.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | NASHASHUK P/TT M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | GOUTEN OF GARO TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 1 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | LEISURED FEET SR/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 8 | 71.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 54.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | BANDY B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 2 | 64.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER H1/B2/TT H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 5 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KEEP GOING B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | OPEN HOUSE B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | MY DEAR B-/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 42.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | LA BOMBA TT- R Bayliss · D J Whyte | R Bayliss | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 38.3% | 2.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | STARLOT | 12.7% | 7.87 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | NASHASHUK | 9.3% | 10.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | KEEP GOING | 8.0% | 12.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | MY DEAR | 7.3% | 13.73 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | OPEN HOUSE | 6.2% | 16.23 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | LEISURED FEET | 5.2% | 19.25 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | LA BOMBA | 3.8% | 26.35 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER | 3.3% | 30.08 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 3.1% | 31.83 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD | 1.6% | 62.45 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | BANDY | 1.2% | 81.85 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 47
PLACE
3 12
6 15.5
12 23
QUINELLA
6,12 225
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 23.5
3,12 42
6,12 66.5
TIERCE
6,12,3 856
TRIO
3,6,12 89
FIRST 4
3,6,11,12 106
QUARTET
6,12,3,11 3,160
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15