跑馬地 · 2019-10-09
第 6場
2019-10-09跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、C S Shum訓練的ALL WONGCHOY勝出，贏出HD。PRECIOUS SWEETIE獲得亞軍；SHAMPORT獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門PRECIOUS SWEETIE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALL WONGCHOY TT 1.10.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 11 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 3.2 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | SHAMPORT TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | NAVAS B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | U W BROTHER C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 1 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER V-/CP1/TT H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | SPIRIT B M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 95.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BRILLIANT H/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER FUN L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 12 | 67.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CAMFORD MAGIC K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 243.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHAMPORT | 35.3% | 2.83 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | BULLISH BROTHER | 11.0% | 9.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA | 8.0% | 12.52 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | ALL WONGCHOY | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | NAVAS | 5.2% | 19.35 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER FUN | 3.9% | 25.40 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | CAMFORD MAGIC | 3.0% | 33.76 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER | 2.3% | 44.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BRILLIANT | 2.2% | 45.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SPIRIT | 2.0% | 50.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | U W BROTHER | 1.5% | 66.50 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 115.5
PLACE
2 14
3 14
4 33
QUINELLA
2,4 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 24.5
2,4 75
3,4 79.5
TIERCE
4,2,3 2,011
TRIO
2,3,4 172
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 309
QUARTET
4,2,3,6 10,781
3 PICK 1
A3 38.5
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
10/2 45.5
10/4 950