跑馬地 · 2019-10-09
第 9場
2019-10-09跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C Fownes訓練的SNAP FIT勝出，贏出N。SPECIAL STARS獲得亞軍；BEAUTY CHARISMA獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNAP FIT B/TT 0.57.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 5 | 1.7 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY CHARISMA CP/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 6 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | KING'S EMINENCE H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 82.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY LIFELINE M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 9 | 75.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | MEGA HEART XB/TT R Bayliss · C W Chang | R Bayliss | C W Chang | 11 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 4 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | THE RUNNER C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | AMAZING LUCK SR-/B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR TT1 T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 3 | 175.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNAP FIT | 44.9% | 2.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SPECIAL STARS | 19.4% | 5.16 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | AMAZING LUCK | 14.5% | 6.91 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | MEGA HEART | 4.3% | 23.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL | 3.7% | 27.39 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER | 3.3% | 30.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | THE RUNNER | 2.8% | 35.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | KING'S EMINENCE | 2.7% | 37.56 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY LIFELINE | 2.5% | 39.73 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | BEAUTY CHARISMA | 0.9% | 108.09 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 0.7% | 152.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR | 0.5% | 210.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 17.5
PLACE
6 69.5
7 16
9 12.5
QUINELLA
7,9 43
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 191
6,9 104.5
7,9 21.5
TIERCE
9,7,6 1,008
TRIO
6,7,9 348
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 2,643
QUARTET
9,7,6,3 16,181
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
8TH DOUBLE
7/7 38
7/9 104.5
SIX UP
8,9,10/9,10/2,4/7,8/3,7,10/7,9 2,571
8,10/10/4/8/7/9 1,115,309
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
8/7/7 1,337
8/7/9 3,400