跑馬地 · 2019-10-23
第 6場
2019-10-23跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的HAPPY TIME勝出，贏出1-1/4。SHOUSON獲得亞軍；METHANE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY TIME H-/TT 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SHOUSON B N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | METHANE L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 6 | 102.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | SHAMPORT TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 1 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | DOR DOR H U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 10 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP V-/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | THE SHOW B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 120.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | BULB ELITE B2 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 3 | 77.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SPEEDY LUCK CP/TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPEEDY LUCK | 37.1% | 2.70 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | SHAMPORT | 12.3% | 8.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY TIME | 12.3% | 8.15 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SHOUSON | 9.8% | 10.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | DOR DOR | 7.9% | 12.63 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | BULLISH BROTHER | 5.6% | 17.82 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | BULB ELITE | 4.3% | 23.42 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 3.7% | 26.87 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP | 3.3% | 30.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESIDENT STAR | 1.7% | 58.77 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | METHANE | 1.1% | 95.23 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | THE SHOW | 1.0% | 95.82 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 21
PLACE
3 12.5
5 29
6 231
QUINELLA
3,5 128
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 52
3,6 368
5,6 1,318
TIERCE
3,5,6 12,367
TRIO
3,5,6 3,767
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 11,523
QUARTET
3,5,6,2 145,671
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 234.5
1/5 186.5