跑馬地 · 2019-10-30
第 6場
2019-10-30跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由T H So策騎、K H Ting訓練的BABY勝出，贏出N。LOBO'S LEGEND獲得亞軍；SHINING ACE獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門SHINING ACE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BABY B 1.10.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | 2 | 9.5 | N |
| 2 | 2 | LOBO'S LEGEND N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SHINING ACE B U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 4 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | PLANET STAR B K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | THE RUNNER C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 1 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | STARLIGHT R Bayliss · C H Yip | R Bayliss | C H Yip | 6 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | JING JING WIN CP- C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 11 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TANG FLEMING B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FAIRY TWINS TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 12 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | DIVINE UNICORN TT A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 9 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY | 29.8% | 3.36 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | SHINING ACE | 17.6% | 5.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PLANET STAR | 17.5% | 5.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | COMFORT LIFE | 7.7% | 13.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | BABY | 4.6% | 21.77 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | JING JING WIN | 4.5% | 22.46 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | DIVINE UNICORN | 3.0% | 33.56 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | STARLIGHT | 2.7% | 36.44 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | THE RUNNER | 2.6% | 37.91 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | TANG FLEMING | 2.2% | 44.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | FAIRY TWINS | 1.8% | 57.06 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 95.5
PLACE
2 36.5
7 12.5
12 28
QUINELLA
2,12 729.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 78.5
2,12 199
7,12 56.5
TIERCE
12,2,7 4,663
TRIO
2,7,12 484
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 478
QUARTET
12,2,7,4 18,444
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 249
5/12 1,204
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,3,5/2,7,12 21,624,873
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,9/2,3,5/Any Combination 16,780