跑馬地 · 2019-11-06
第 8場
2019-11-06跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GENTLE BREEZE勝出，贏出2-3/4。MOMENTUM GALAXY獲得亞軍；E MASTER獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門FRUSTRATED跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GENTLE BREEZE B 0.56.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 56.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | E MASTER V/XB R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 12 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | KING'S EMINENCE M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FRUSTRATED B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.3 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE CP1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING FEELING L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 3 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | HARD PROMISE B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARISMA CP/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SKYEY SUPREME TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 108.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FRUSTRATED | 23.0% | 4.34 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 15.3% | 6.54 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | GENTLE BREEZE | 15.0% | 6.66 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SPECIAL STARS | 14.6% | 6.84 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARISMA | 7.4% | 13.54 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | KING'S EMINENCE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | HARD PROMISE | 4.5% | 22.40 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER | 4.3% | 23.37 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | E MASTER | 3.9% | 25.90 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 3.1% | 32.41 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | SKYEY SUPREME | 1.3% | 79.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING FEELING | 1.0% | 100.31 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 42
PLACE
8 16.5
9 76.5
10 139
QUINELLA
8,10 1,220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 197.5
8,10 329
9,10 1,271.5
TIERCE
8,10,9 20,749
TRIO
8,9,10 4,759
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 11,876
QUARTET
8,10,9,1 233,782
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/8,9,10 254,441
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/8 54.5
3/10 185