跑馬地 · 2019-11-06
第 9場
2019-11-06跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的DANCING FIGHTER勝出，贏出NOSE。YOO YOO KING獲得亞軍；BALLISTIC KING獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DANCING FIGHTER SR/TT 1.09.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 3.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | YOO YOO KING K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 7.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | MY DARLING M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | BUOYANT BOY TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FIRST RESPONDER CP/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION B/H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEST ALLIANCE XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 58.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FANTASTIC FEELING G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 10 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SHANGHAI MASTER H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 89.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DANCING FIGHTER | 30.9% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING | 17.7% | 5.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 11.8% | 8.44 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | BUOYANT BOY | 8.1% | 12.34 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | FIRST RESPONDER | 7.4% | 13.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | MY DARLING | 6.6% | 15.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | YOO YOO KING | 5.8% | 17.20 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | SHANGHAI MASTER | 3.3% | 30.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS | 2.7% | 36.71 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 2.2% | 45.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | BEST ALLIANCE | 2.1% | 48.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.4% | 72.35 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 34
PLACE
1 30.5
4 21.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,11 202
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 86.5
1,11 77
4,11 49
TIERCE
11,1,4 1,073
TRIO
1,4,11 329
FIRST 4
1,3,4,11 467
QUARTET
11,1,4,3 7,495
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 48
8/11 157.5
SIX UP
4,5/10,12/1,12/3,4/8,10/1,11 523
5/10/12/3/8/11 428,354
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/8/1 107
3/8/11 262