跑馬地 · 2019-11-06
第 1場
2019-11-06跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由U Rispoli策騎、K H Ting訓練的WHAT A LEGEND勝出，贏出2-1/4。NICE KICK獲得亞軍；SUPREME PLUS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND CP-/H-/B1 1.09.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | NICE KICK PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING WAYS B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 8 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | IRON BOY B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER LUCKY P-/H/XB A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 4 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | VEGA RHYTHM H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 120.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | HERO TIME B/H/XB/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 9 | 6.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BRILLIANT PROFIT B1/TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | APOLLOS BOW B1 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 5 | METHANE L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NICE KICK | 34.1% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | IRON BOY | 10.0% | 10.02 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | HERO TIME | 7.7% | 12.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNING WAYS | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPREME PLUS | 6.6% | 15.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.6% | 21.71 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | BRILLIANT PROFIT | 4.1% | 24.24 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | APOLLOS BOW | 1.3% | 78.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | VEGA RHYTHM | 1.0% | 102.13 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 30.5
PLACE
9 21
10 46
11 14
QUINELLA
9,11 87
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 115.5
9,11 38
10,11 77.5
TIERCE
11,9,10 1,167
TRIO
9,10,11 303
FIRST 4
7,9,10,11 935
QUARTET
11,9,10,7 12,268
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 17.5