Happy Valley · 2019-11-06
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND CP-/H-/B1 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NICE KICK PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING WAYS B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 8 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | IRON BOY B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY P-/H/XB A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 4 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 120.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HERO TIME B/H/XB/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 9 | 6.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT PROFIT B1/TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | APOLLOS BOW B1 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | METHANE L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WHAT A LEGEND, ridden by U Rispoli and trained by K H Ting, won by 2-1/4, with NICE KICK second and SUPREME PLUS third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICE KICK | 34.1% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | IRON BOY | 10.0% | 10.02 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HERO TIME | 7.7% | 12.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING WAYS | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 6.6% | 15.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.6% | 21.71 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT PROFIT | 4.1% | 24.24 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | APOLLOS BOW | 1.3% | 78.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM | 1.0% | 102.13 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 30.5
PLACE
9 21
10 46
11 14
QUINELLA
9,11 87
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 115.5
9,11 38
10,11 77.5
TIERCE
11,9,10 1,167
TRIO
9,10,11 303
FIRST 4
7,9,10,11 935
QUARTET
11,9,10,7 12,268
3 PICK 1
A2 17.5
A3 —
A1 —