Happy Valley · 2019-11-06
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WONDERFUL TIGER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with DOCTORS DELIGHT second and ASSOCIATION FANS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CALLING THE SHOTS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 13.0 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | DOCTORS DELIGHT Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 7.8 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | ASSOCIATION FANS Closed strongly H/SR M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CALLING THE SHOTS B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLD VELVET Closed strongly B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 11 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | MEGATRON B/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING CIRCLE Led early PC-/B2/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 5 | 130.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | TIGERLAD B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 4 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MEDIC DRAGON H-/B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | FORTUNE BUDDY B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 133.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALLING THE SHOTS | 21.7% | 4.62 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLD VELVET | 17.7% | 5.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING CIRCLE | 15.8% | 6.33 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | MEGATRON | 8.2% | 12.16 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.7% | 14.89 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN CANNON | 6.5% | 15.27 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 5.4% | 18.53 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | MEDIC DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 1.2% | 84.39 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.1% | 91.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | TIGERLAD | 0.7% | 136.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 131
PLACE
3 19
10 21
11 35
QUINELLA
10,11 393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 57.5
3,11 107
10,11 126
TIERCE
11,10,3 3,843
TRIO
3,10,11 668
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 456
QUARTET
11,10,3,1 16,381
1ST DOUBLE
5,11/10 54
5,11/11 295
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25
A2 —
A1 —