Happy Valley · 2019-11-06
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 13.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 7.8 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS Closed strongly H/SR M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CALLING THE SHOTS B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD VELVET Closed strongly B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 11 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MEGATRON B/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE Led early PC-/B2/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 5 | 130.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TIGERLAD B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 4 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MEDIC DRAGON H-/B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 133.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WONDERFUL TIGER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with DOCTORS DELIGHT second and ASSOCIATION FANS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CALLING THE SHOTS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALLING THE SHOTS | 21.7% | 4.62 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD VELVET | 17.7% | 5.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 15.8% | 6.33 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | MEGATRON | 8.2% | 12.16 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.7% | 14.89 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON | 6.5% | 15.27 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 5.4% | 18.53 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | MEDIC DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 1.2% | 84.39 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.1% | 91.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | TIGERLAD | 0.7% | 136.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 131
PLACE
3 19
10 21
11 35
QUINELLA
10,11 393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 57.5
3,11 107
10,11 126
TIERCE
11,10,3 3,843
TRIO
3,10,11 668
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 456
QUARTET
11,10,3,1 16,381
1ST DOUBLE
5,11/10 54
5,11/11 295
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25
A2 —