跑馬地 · 2019-11-27
第 6場
2019-11-27跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SPECIAL STARS勝出，贏出N。JUMBO PRIZE獲得亞軍；E STAR獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門JUMBO PRIZE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPECIAL STARS 0.57.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 5.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO PRIZE TT R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 2 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | E STAR H M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 4 | 6.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON PIONEER B U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 7 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 8 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | STORM SIGNAL B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | HARD PROMISE B- H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 9 | 133.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA CP/H/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 251.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARISMA CP/TT C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 12 | 31.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPECIAL STARS | 20.5% | 4.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO PRIZE | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE | 13.8% | 7.24 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | E STAR | 12.7% | 7.84 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN | 8.9% | 11.24 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER | 7.8% | 12.88 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARISMA | 4.7% | 21.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | DRAGON PIONEER | 3.9% | 25.44 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | STORM SIGNAL | 3.5% | 28.25 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | HARD PROMISE | 2.5% | 40.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 1.3% | 76.76 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA | 0.9% | 108.34 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 50
PLACE
6 19
10 12.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
6,10 86
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 35
6,12 82.5
10,12 39.5
TIERCE
6,10,12 1,137
TRIO
6,10,12 195
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 261
QUARTET
6,10,12,5 6,044
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
10/6 411
10/10 51.5