跑馬地 · 2019-11-27
第 9場
2019-11-27跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、A T Millard訓練的MERIDIAN GENIUS勝出，贏出1/2。HIGHLY PROACTIVE獲得亞軍；STARLIGHT獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門HIGHLY PROACTIVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | STARLIGHT U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY WARRIOR CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 7 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | PLANET STAR B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | KASI FARASI H/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | E MASTER V/XB R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FAIRY TWINS TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 105.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT A Sanna · D E Ferraris | A Sanna | D E Ferraris | 8 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER WISE H/P/TT H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 11 | 42.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 32.1% | 3.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | PLANET STAR | 8.8% | 11.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER WISE | 5.5% | 18.16 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | E MASTER | 5.4% | 18.66 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER | 4.2% | 23.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | KASI FARASI | 3.5% | 28.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | STARLIGHT | 3.4% | 29.73 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.2% | 31.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN | 1.6% | 62.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | FAIRY TWINS | 1.4% | 73.86 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 31.5
PLACE
5 14
7 37.5
10 14
QUINELLA
5,10 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 91.5
5,10 25
7,10 83.5
TIERCE
10,5,7 784
TRIO
5,7,10 193
FIRST 4
5,7,10,12 450
QUARTET
10,5,7,12 5,838
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
8TH DOUBLE
7/5 92
7/10 593
SIX UP
6,10/4,10,12/6,10/3,4/7,10/5,10 1,036
6/10/6/4/7/10 491,998
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
4/7/5 358
4/7/10 1,940