Happy Valley · 2019-11-27
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MERIDIAN GENIUS, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A T Millard, won by 1/2, with HIGHLY PROACTIVE second and STARLIGHT third. The 2.7 favourite HIGHLY PROACTIVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | STARLIGHT U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY WARRIOR CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 7 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | PLANET STAR B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | KASI FARASI H/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | E MASTER V/XB R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FAIRY TWINS TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 105.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT A Sanna · D E Ferraris | A Sanna | D E Ferraris | 8 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER WISE H/P/TT H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 11 | 42.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 32.1% | 3.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 24.3% | 4.12 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | PLANET STAR | 8.8% | 11.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER WISE | 5.5% | 18.16 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | E MASTER | 5.4% | 18.66 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | THE RUNNER | 4.2% | 23.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | KASI FARASI | 3.5% | 28.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | STARLIGHT | 3.4% | 29.73 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.2% | 31.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN | 1.6% | 62.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | FAIRY TWINS | 1.4% | 73.86 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 31.5
PLACE
5 14
7 37.5
10 14
QUINELLA
5,10 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 91.5
5,10 25
7,10 83.5
TIERCE
10,5,7 784
TRIO
5,7,10 193
FIRST 4
5,7,10,12 450
QUARTET
10,5,7,12 5,838
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23.5
All pools (3 more)
8TH DOUBLE
7/5 92
7/10 593
SIX UP
6,10/4,10,12/6,10/3,4/7,10/5,10 1,036
6/10/6/4/7/10 491,998
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
4/7/5 358
4/7/10 1,940