Happy Valley · 2019-11-27
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN KID Closed strongly B 1.50.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Sanna · K W Lui | A Sanna | K W Lui | 8 | 8.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 7 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly V/TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL Led early B-/BO1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON WARRIOR B/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY GEM PC/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY SHINY DAY CP T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 5 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LE PANACHE B S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | OUR GREEN B U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 6 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 1 | 7.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 4 | 72.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2019-11-27 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN KID, ridden by A Sanna and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with ROMANTIC JOURNEY second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROMANTIC JOURNEY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY | 22.7% | 4.40 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LE PANACHE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 12.3% | 8.16 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 12.0% | 8.36 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY SHINY DAY | 9.5% | 10.57 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM | 5.3% | 18.94 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL | 5.0% | 20.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 4.8% | 20.66 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.24 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 3.5% | 28.95 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | OUR GREEN | 1.9% | 53.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 1.7% | 58.52 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 87.5
PLACE
3 30
6 42.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
3,12 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 197
3,12 53
6,12 120.5
TIERCE
3,12,6 4,390
TRIO
3,6,12 712
FIRST 4
3,6,8,12 2,870
QUARTET
3,12,6,8 55,974
2ND DOUBLE
1/3 147.5
1/12 10.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 31.5
A1 —