跑馬地 · 2019-12-26
第 6場
2019-12-26跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、J Moore訓練的G UNIT勝出，贏出3/4。MEHBOOB獲得亞軍；ISLAND WINNER獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門THE ABRAXAS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | G UNIT 0.57.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 6 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MEHBOOB XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ISLAND WINNER CP/XB/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | DR PROACTIVE H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 145.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | AURORA STEED B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 10 | 64.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GALAXY EMPEROR H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 51.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | THIS IS CHARISMA H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 80.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | JOY AVENUE T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BEST SMILE H-/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 8.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ISLAND WINNER | 27.4% | 3.64 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS | 19.0% | 5.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | MEHBOOB | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BEST SMILE | 12.5% | 8.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | G UNIT | 9.8% | 10.25 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 4.1% | 24.35 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.1% | 24.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | TRAVEL DATUK | 3.4% | 29.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | AURORA STEED | 1.9% | 52.31 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | DR PROACTIVE | 1.1% | 87.39 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 0.9% | 117.05 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | JOY AVENUE | 0.8% | 122.58 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 81
PLACE
2 21
4 17
12 16
QUINELLA
2,4 185.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 56.5
2,12 56
4,12 47
TIERCE
2,4,12 1,340
TRIO
2,4,12 214
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 4,140
QUARTET
2,4,12,7 66,072
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 19.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/2 262.5
2/4 49