跑馬地 · 2019-12-26
第 5場
2019-12-26跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的VICTORY POWER勝出，贏出3/4。NOBLE MAN獲得亞軍；COMPASSION STAR獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門GUNNAR跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY POWER B/XB 1.10.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | NOBLE MAN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | COMPASSION STAR M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | GUNNAR TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEEDY MISSILE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY MISSILE R Bayliss · D J Hall | R Bayliss | D J Hall | 10 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | LIGHTNING TREASURE V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR H/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | LOOK ERAS B2 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | VITALITY FORTUNE H1/TT1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 12 | 230.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GOLDEN EFFORT B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 5 | 55.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | NAVAS · R Gibson | — | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GUNNAR | 27.1% | 3.68 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | NOBLE MAN | 22.7% | 4.40 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY POWER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | MASTER ALBERT | 10.1% | 9.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | LIGHTNING TREASURE | 10.0% | 10.01 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | COMPASSION STAR | 4.8% | 20.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 3.9% | 25.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.2% | 45.78 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR | 2.1% | 48.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | VITALITY FORTUNE | 1.8% | 56.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | LOOK ERAS | 1.8% | 56.49 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | GOLDEN EFFORT | 1.6% | 63.65 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 49
PLACE
2 17
5 21.5
12 25
QUINELLA
2,5 205
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 79.5
2,12 82
5,12 128
TIERCE
2,5,12 4,690
TRIO
2,5,12 676
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 367
QUARTET
2,5,12,1 12,216
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,10/2,5,12 39,788
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 556.5
10/5 268.5