跑馬地 · 2020-01-29
第 1場
2020-01-29跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Moore訓練的SHOUSON勝出，贏出1。SUPER LUCKY獲得亞軍；MELBOURNE HALL獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHOUSON B 1.10.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 2 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER LUCKY H/XB/B1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MELBOURNE HALL XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 57.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER WINNER SR-/H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | U W BROTHER H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FAIRY TWINS TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 60.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BABY STORM H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 143.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B-/V1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SPEEDY MISSILE H-/B1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | EVER STRONG P S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHOUSON | 22.3% | 4.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 17.9% | 5.57 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | U W BROTHER | 16.7% | 6.00 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER WINNER | 11.5% | 8.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 7.7% | 13.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | EVER STRONG | 7.3% | 13.71 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 4.6% | 21.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | MELBOURNE HALL | 3.2% | 31.35 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | FAIRY TWINS | 3.1% | 31.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER LUCKY | 3.0% | 32.79 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 1.5% | 67.80 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | BABY STORM | 1.2% | 83.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 19.5
PLACE
3 12
4 111.5
7 47
QUINELLA
3,7 199
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 138
3,7 70.5
4,7 887.5
TIERCE
3,7,4 6,448
TRIO
3,4,7 2,165
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 2,062
QUARTET
3,7,4,8 34,227
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —