跑馬地 · 2020-02-12
第 1場
2020-02-12跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的AMAZING勝出，贏出SH。SUPER LUCKY獲得亞軍；VICTORY FOR ALL獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING TT 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 7.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY FOR ALL B1 G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 12 | 90.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE B J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 6 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY B-/PC1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 128.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE H/CP1 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 4 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE CP-/B2 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 5 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING GODSPELL SR M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 4.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | GRAND HARBOUR H/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | WINNING STRIKES A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 107.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CHAMPION PRIDE B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE | 20.6% | 4.86 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING | 16.1% | 6.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER LUCKY | 13.2% | 7.59 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING GODSPELL | 10.8% | 9.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 10.4% | 9.61 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE | 9.3% | 10.76 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE | 6.7% | 14.84 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 5.4% | 18.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | WINNING STRIKES | 2.7% | 37.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | GRAND HARBOUR | 2.1% | 47.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY | 1.5% | 68.12 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 1.2% | 81.57 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 67
PLACE
1 24
5 20.5
8 206.5
QUINELLA
1,5 250
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 82.5
1,8 1,076.5
5,8 800.5
TIERCE
5,1,8 26,028
TRIO
1,5,8 6,976
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 6,258
QUARTET
5,1,8,11 198,997
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23.5
A3 —