跑馬地 · 2020-02-12
第 8場
2020-02-12跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI GALAXY勝出，贏出1/2。DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得亞軍；BEAUTY SPARK獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PING HAI GALAXY 1.09.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 2 | 160.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT B-/V1/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 1 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GREEN REIGN B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | VICTORY IN HAND TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 9 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 141.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SHOUSON B G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | FRESH POWER B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 46.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ANONYMA TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 7 | 440.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | COPARTNER SPIRIT H/XB/B1 H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 8 | 520.0 | 23-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 22.3% | 4.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 19.5% | 5.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORY IN HAND | 14.4% | 6.93 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY SPARK | 14.1% | 7.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND | 10.2% | 9.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | SHOUSON | 7.3% | 13.64 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | GREEN REIGN | 5.5% | 18.07 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | FRESH POWER | 3.4% | 29.74 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | PING HAI GALAXY | 2.3% | 44.00 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | JADE THEATRE | 0.5% | 213.06 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.4% | 279.56 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | ANONYMA | 0.3% | 353.89 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 1,603
PLACE
4 15.5
9 245
11 23
QUINELLA
9,11 4,263
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 574
4,11 62
9,11 939
TIERCE
9,11,4 30,534
TRIO
4,9,11 3,178
FIRST 4
3,4,9,11 3,314
QUARTET
9,11,4,3 140,370
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 49
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/4,9,11 476,688
7TH DOUBLE
9/9 4,135.5
9/11 65.5
SIX UP
3,5/1,12/3,4/3,10/8,9/9,11 72,330
3 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
10/9/9 11,745
10/9/11 70