跑馬地 · 2020-05-20
第 5場
2020-05-20跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BULLISH BROTHER勝出，贏出1-1/4。LUCKY QUALITY獲得亞軍；MONKEY JEWELLERY獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門ARES跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT 1.09.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY B-/H1/P1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | ARES Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | AMAZING TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HERO TIME M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 3 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | DIAMOND RHYME V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MANY GAINS V B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 9 | 310.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | SO GLORIOUS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 138.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER H-/CP1 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 44.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ARES | 25.6% | 3.90 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY | 15.0% | 6.66 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 13.9% | 7.19 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 9.6% | 10.43 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | HERO TIME | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN GLORY | 8.5% | 11.72 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | AMAZING | 4.9% | 20.21 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | BULLISH BROTHER | 4.5% | 22.15 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | DIAMOND RHYME | 4.0% | 24.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY WINNER | 3.3% | 30.09 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | MANY GAINS | 0.9% | 108.95 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.9% | 117.29 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 50
PLACE
4 22
8 18.5
11 17
QUINELLA
8,11 139
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 62.5
4,11 63.5
8,11 49
TIERCE
11,8,4 1,939
TRIO
4,8,11 345
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 131
QUARTET
11,8,4,1 4,441
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/4,8,11 10,046
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/8 51.5
4/11 524.5