跑馬地 · 2020-05-20
第 9場
2020-05-20跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SHINING ACE勝出，贏出1-1/2。WINNING METHOD獲得亞軍；SPARKLING DRAGON獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門AMAZING STAR跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SHINING ACE B 1.08.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 8 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST E-/H1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SHINING GEM CP C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 1 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PRINCE OF FROG H1/P1/XB1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 61.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | AMAZING STAR Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 3.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LARSON CP C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 9 | 5.9 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 209.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING STAR | 18.9% | 5.29 | 10 |
| 2 | 8 | LARSON | 16.0% | 6.25 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | SHINING ACE | 13.2% | 7.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | THIS IS CLASS | 12.9% | 7.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | SHINING GEM | 11.9% | 8.43 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING METHOD | 6.3% | 15.84 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.1% | 16.29 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | TORNADO TWIST | 4.2% | 23.68 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 4.1% | 24.60 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.51 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | PRINCE OF FROG | 1.7% | 57.59 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER | 0.9% | 109.38 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 69
PLACE
2 19.5
10 70.5
11 29
QUINELLA
2,11 314.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 269
2,11 104.5
10,11 370.5
TIERCE
2,11,10 9,938
TRIO
2,10,11 2,612
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 8,185
QUARTET
2,11,10,9 127,615
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7>1,2,6/2,10,11 25,190
8TH DOUBLE
2,6/2 169.5
2,6/11 45.5
SIX UP
3,4/8,11/1,8/1,6/2,6,7/2,11 5,455
4/11/1/1/2,6/2 2,723,024
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
1/2,6/2 1,162
1/2,6/11 344