跑馬地 · 2020-05-20
第 8場
2020-05-20跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的GOLDEN DASH勝出，贏出1-1/2。CALIFORNIA RAD獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | THE RUNNER SR T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 2 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SHOUSON B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 4 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING FEELING B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 5 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 33.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 6 | PING HAI GALAXY N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 19.8% | 5.04 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH | 11.8% | 8.48 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY SPARK | 9.1% | 11.05 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | THE RUNNER | 8.2% | 12.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SHOUSON | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND | 5.2% | 19.25 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD | 4.6% | 21.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING FEELING | 4.2% | 23.64 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.2% | 24.07 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 24
PLACE
1 14.5
2 12
7 19
QUINELLA
2,7 82.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 20.5
1,7 37.5
2,7 31
TIERCE
2,7,1 289
TRIO
1,2,7 64
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 187
QUARTET
2,7,1,9 2,658
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/2,6 183.5
1/7 69