Happy Valley · 2020-05-20
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THE RUNNER SR T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 2 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SHOUSON B K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 4 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING FEELING B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 5 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 33.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PING HAI GALAXY N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN DASH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with CALIFORNIA RAD second and CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 19.8% | 5.04 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN DASH | 11.8% | 8.48 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK | 9.1% | 11.05 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 8.2% | 12.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHOUSON | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 5.2% | 19.25 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD | 4.6% | 21.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING FEELING | 4.2% | 23.64 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.2% | 24.07 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 24
PLACE
1 14.5
2 12
7 19
QUINELLA
2,7 82.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 20.5
1,7 37.5
2,7 31
TIERCE
2,7,1 289
TRIO
1,2,7 64
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 187
QUARTET
2,7,1,9 2,658
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2,6 183.5
1/7 69