Happy Valley · 2020-05-20
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING BONUS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-3/4, with INTERSTELLAR second and HARRIER JET third. The 2.4 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING BONUS 1.09.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | INTERSTELLAR B/H/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 2 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | HARRIER JET B/TT- M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE H/P/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | THE SHOW B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 5 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MULTIMAX B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX B2 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 2.4 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | SPACE P-/XB-/H1/TT1 B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 189.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | KUNG FU TEA XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 1 | 48.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | HIN YUEN BIS TT1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX | 24.0% | 4.17 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | INTERSTELLAR | 16.9% | 5.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 8.5% | 11.74 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | HIN YUEN BIS | 7.5% | 13.31 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | FLYING BONUS | 6.1% | 16.40 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | HARRIER JET | 5.1% | 19.45 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | THE SHOW | 3.2% | 31.34 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | MULTIMAX | 2.8% | 35.31 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | KUNG FU TEA | 2.2% | 46.21 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | SPACE | 1.8% | 56.41 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | PLAY TO WIN | 1.3% | 75.60 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 116.5
PLACE
1 31.5
5 36.5
8 22
QUINELLA
1,8 342.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 184.5
1,8 118.5
5,8 105
TIERCE
1,8,5 6,636
TRIO
1,5,8 1,139
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,026
QUARTET
1,8,5,2 27,767
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 32
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 626
11/8 54