Happy Valley · 2020-05-20
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly 1.48.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER V/XB1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 8 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RULE THEE Closed strongly B2 N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Led early C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B-/H-/XB H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 4 | 170.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HOME WIN B-/CP1 V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 10 | 62.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART THINKER Closed strongly B/XB T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 3 | 124.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PLAY WISE B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 33.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 5 | 6.5 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DIONYSUS COLLIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with PRETTY BAUHINIA second and PARTY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 23.3% | 4.28 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 20.2% | 4.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 14.3% | 6.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 10.2% | 9.79 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 9.8% | 10.22 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 7.6% | 13.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.3% | 23.14 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 4.2% | 23.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | RULE THEE | 3.2% | 31.02 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 1.1% | 91.55 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HOME WIN | 1.0% | 102.04 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART THINKER | 0.8% | 128.63 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 25.5
PLACE
1 26.5
8 37.5
9 14
QUINELLA
8,9 151
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 131
1,9 50
8,9 59.5
TIERCE
9,8,1 1,689
TRIO
1,8,9 368
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 1,900
QUARTET
9,8,1,5 28,771
1ST DOUBLE
11/8 186.5
11/9 627
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —