Happy Valley · 2020-05-20
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED Wire to wire TT 1.39.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FOCUS Closed strongly K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/P V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 9 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PLIKCLONE H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 7 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 8 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK B/SR/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/P/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 10 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | THE DRIVE TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 11 | 129.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LIGHTNING STEED, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with FOCUS second and SEIZE THE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FOCUS | 23.2% | 4.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 21.4% | 4.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 11.4% | 8.77 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 5.2% | 19.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 4.9% | 20.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PLIKCLONE | 4.3% | 23.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 4.0% | 24.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 4.0% | 24.95 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 3.8% | 26.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 3.2% | 31.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 2.0% | 49.74 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 25
PLACE
3 19
6 13
10 20.5
QUINELLA
3,6 89
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 35.5
3,10 59
6,10 46
TIERCE
6,3,10 560
TRIO
3,6,10 145
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 332
QUARTET
6,3,10,12 5,077
2ND DOUBLE
9/3 21
9/6 102.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5