Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2020-05-20

Race 4

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CLASSIC UNICORN TT 0.56.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So 3 6.0 4
2 0 BE READY B Z Purton · F C Lor 2 4.7 4
3 0 FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 8 5.5 4-1/2
4 0 G UNIT C Schofield · J Moore 1 6.3 5-1/2
5 0 EXPLOSIVE WITNESS J Moreira · C Fownes 5 3.7 6
6 0 JOLLY GOOD HEART H1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte 4 40.0 6-1/4
7 0 VERY SWEET ORANGE V H N Wong · Y S Tsui 7 26.0 7
8 0 ALLIED AGILITY H/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu 6 6.4 7
9 0 KING'S EMINENCE TT H T Mo · L Ho 9 136.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CLASSIC UNICORN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 4, with BE READY second and FLYING GENIUS third. The 3.7 favourite EXPLOSIVE WITNESS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CLASSIC UNICORN—2. BE READY+4L3. FLYING GENIUS+4.5L4. G UNIT+5.5L5. EXPLOSIVE WITNESS+6L6. JOLLY GOOD HEART+6.25L7. VERY SWEET ORANGE+7L8. ALLIED AGILITY+7L9. KING'S EMINENCE+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BE READY (26.8%) finished 2nd — the winner CLASSIC UNICORN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BE READY 26.8% 3.73 2
2 0 EXPLOSIVE WITNESS 17.6% 5.69 5
3 0 FLYING GENIUS 16.5% 6.08 3
4 0 ALLIED AGILITY 10.5% 9.54 8
5 0 CLASSIC UNICORN 9.6% 10.43 1
6 0 G UNIT 9.4% 10.66 4
7 0 VERY SWEET ORANGE 5.2% 19.24 7
8 0 JOLLY GOOD HEART 3.5% 28.35 6
9 0 KING'S EMINENCE 1.0% 100.49 9
BE READYEXPLOSIVE WITNESSFLYING GENIUSALLIED AGILITYCLASSIC UNICORN — wonG UNITVERY SWEET ORANGEJOLLY GOOD HEARTKING'S EMINENCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 60.5

PLACE

3 15.5

4 22

5 19.5

QUINELLA

3,4 166.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 54.5

3,5 42.5

4,5 70

TIERCE

4,3,5 1,362

TRIO

3,4,5 226

FIRST 4

3,4,5,9 321

QUARTET

4,3,5,9 8,262

3 PICK 1

A2 18

A3 —

A1 —

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

6/3 31

6/4 257