Happy Valley · 2020-05-20
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Closed strongly 1.39.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly SR1 C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KIRAM Closed strongly M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 6 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WIND GLIDER B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN REIGN Closed strongly B-/V1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 3.8 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART COUSIN M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 8 | 190.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 9.4 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO Led early B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | RACING LUCK C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-20 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAGNIFICENT, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by 1/2, with FARSHAD second and XIANG BAI QI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite GREEN REIGN finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN REIGN | 26.6% | 3.76 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 13.7% | 7.29 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 12.9% | 7.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FARSHAD | 9.2% | 10.84 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 8.1% | 12.41 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO | 6.9% | 14.50 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 6.8% | 14.61 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 4.9% | 20.56 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 4.3% | 23.17 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 4.1% | 24.28 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | KIRAM | 1.8% | 55.76 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 0.7% | 152.29 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 64.5
PLACE
1 24.5
5 47
6 18.5
QUINELLA
1,6 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 137.5
1,6 63.5
5,6 115
TIERCE
1,6,5 2,706
TRIO
1,5,6 653
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 1,420
QUARTET
1,6,5,7 30,884
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,5,6 102,113
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5
6TH DOUBLE
1/1 781
1/6 124
TRIPLE TRIO
4,8,11/1,5,8/1,5,6 4,076,829
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,11/1,5,8/Any Combination 15,412