跑馬地 · 2020-09-23
第 8場
2020-09-23跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、K H Ting訓練的AMAZING STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。GOLDEN DASH獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA RAD獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門CALIFORNIA RAD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING STAR 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | UGLY WARRIOR V C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | TOUCH OF LUCK CP V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 59.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 55.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | WALDORF B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 12 | 37.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO B C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 3 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 29.8% | 3.36 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 15.2% | 6.60 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 15.1% | 6.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | MEGA HEART | 8.4% | 11.86 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT | 7.7% | 13.03 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET | 3.9% | 25.49 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | UGLY WARRIOR | 3.9% | 25.97 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN DASH | 3.4% | 29.01 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 3.4% | 29.40 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | AMAZING STAR | 3.2% | 31.58 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.1% | 32.78 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | WALDORF | 3.0% | 33.47 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 111
PLACE
1 38
7 12
10 38
QUINELLA
1,10 960.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 49.5
1,10 246.5
7,10 59
FORECAST
1,10 2,135
TIERCE
1,10,7 5,092
TRIO
1,7,10 487
FIRST 4
1,5,7,10 636
QUARTET
1,10,7,5 25,031
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,12/1,7,10 272,184
7TH DOUBLE
12/1 4,309.5
12/10 1,102
SIX UP
8,9/3,5/1,6/8,12/7,12/1,10 247,421
3 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
12/12/1 27,198
12/12/10 6,607