跑馬地 · 2020-09-23
第 6場
2020-09-23跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、C Fownes訓練的ROYAL RACER勝出，贏出1-1/4。FAITHFUL TRINITY獲得亞軍；MURRAY'S PARTNERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門LUCKY MISSILE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ROYAL RACER 後段發力 V 1.39.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/P/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 12 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | THUNDER STOMP B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY MISSILE CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY FOREVER B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BLOOMING SPIRIT B/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 5 | 35.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY TURBO 早段領放 B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 102.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ROCKET HAMMER B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 182.0 | 20-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THUNDER STOMP | 19.3% | 5.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 17.7% | 5.64 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY MISSILE | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 12.9% | 7.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | ROYAL RACER | 12.8% | 7.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 3.5% | 28.67 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.6% | 38.67 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | JOLLY FOREVER | 1.3% | 75.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY TURBO | 0.8% | 123.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.6% | 153.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 61.5
PLACE
3 21
8 19.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
8,12 162.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 70.5
3,12 77
8,12 60.5
FORECAST
12,8 466
TIERCE
12,8,3 2,412
TRIO
3,8,12 384
FIRST 4
1,3,8,12 1,669
QUARTET
12,8,3,1 34,886
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/3,8,12 19,434
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/8 47
6/12 271.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,5/1,6,8/3,8,12 964,911
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,5/1,6,8/Any Combination 3,214