Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V 1.39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/P/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 12 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT B/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 5 | 35.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO Led early B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 102.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 182.0 | 20-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROYAL RACER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with FAITHFUL TRINITY second and MURRAY'S PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite LUCKY MISSILE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 19.3% | 5.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 17.7% | 5.64 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 12.9% | 7.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 12.8% | 7.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 3.5% | 28.67 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.6% | 38.67 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 1.3% | 75.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO | 0.8% | 123.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.6% | 153.88 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 61.5
PLACE
3 21
8 19.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
8,12 162.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 70.5
3,12 77
8,12 60.5
FORECAST
12,8 466
TIERCE
12,8,3 2,412
TRIO
3,8,12 384
FIRST 4
1,3,8,12 1,669
QUARTET
12,8,3,1 34,886
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/3,8,12 19,434
3 PICK 1
A2 22.5
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/8 47
6/12 271.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,5/1,6,8/3,8,12 964,911
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,5/1,6,8/Any Combination 3,214