Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B/TT- 1.39.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly SR/XB1 M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 5 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | URBAN DANCER Led early TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ENSHRINED H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 22-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TASHIDELEK, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with NAMJONG PLUS second and REEL BIZZY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite NAMJONG PLUS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 14.4% | 6.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | ENSHRINED | 13.2% | 7.59 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 9.0% | 11.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 8.3% | 12.11 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY | 8.1% | 12.40 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 6.6% | 15.15 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 4.4% | 22.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 4.1% | 24.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | URBAN DANCER | 2.5% | 39.88 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 101.5
PLACE
2 19
3 18
5 35
QUINELLA
3,5 252.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49
2,5 84.5
3,5 87.5
FORECAST
5,3 756
TIERCE
5,3,2 2,492
TRIO
2,3,5 321
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 887
QUARTET
5,3,2,1 19,679
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/2,3,5 65,403
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 80.5
9/5 935.5