Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING KIWI B/XB 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING BONUS B- K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STANLEY PARK B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | XPONENTIAL SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP SCORE TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 5.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM JAC C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 10 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING KIWI, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING BONUS second and STANLEY PARK third. The 3.6 favourite METRO WARRIOR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 26.3% | 3.81 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 23.5% | 4.25 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 8.3% | 12.09 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK | 8.1% | 12.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 6.8% | 14.66 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 5.6% | 17.87 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | STANLEY PARK | 5.4% | 18.55 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 4.6% | 21.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 3.3% | 30.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 3.0% | 33.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM JAC | 2.9% | 34.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING KIWI | 2.3% | 42.91 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 372.5
PLACE
5 22.5
7 35
12 86
QUINELLA
7,12 1,884.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 126.5
5,12 319
7,12 493
FORECAST
12,7 5,820
TIERCE
12,7,5 25,439
TRIO
5,7,12 4,223
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 4,180
QUARTET
12,7,5,1 172,125
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/7 159.5
12/12 2,092.5