跑馬地 · 2020-09-23
第 7場
2020-09-23跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、D J Whyte訓練的AMAZING KIWI勝出，贏出1-1/4。FLYING BONUS獲得亞軍；STANLEY PARK獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門METRO WARRIOR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING KIWI B/XB 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | FLYING BONUS B- K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | STANLEY PARK B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | XPONENTIAL SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TOP SCORE TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 5.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | TELECOM JAC C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 10 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 26.3% | 3.81 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR | 23.5% | 4.25 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 8.3% | 12.09 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY SPARK | 8.1% | 12.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 6.8% | 14.66 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | FLYING BONUS | 5.6% | 17.87 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | STANLEY PARK | 5.4% | 18.55 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 4.6% | 21.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | TOP SCORE | 3.3% | 30.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 3.0% | 33.80 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | TELECOM JAC | 2.9% | 34.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | AMAZING KIWI | 2.3% | 42.91 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 372.5
PLACE
5 22.5
7 35
12 86
QUINELLA
7,12 1,884.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 126.5
5,12 319
7,12 493
FORECAST
12,7 5,820
TIERCE
12,7,5 25,439
TRIO
5,7,12 4,223
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 4,180
QUARTET
12,7,5,1 172,125
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/7 159.5
12/12 2,092.5