Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL Closed strongly TT 1.48.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RULE THEE Closed strongly B-/V1 Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 7 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 10 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 5 | 52.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.1 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Led early TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 9 | 48.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 12 | 8.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 66.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA B/TT- A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 8 | 35.0 | 22-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY ANGEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with RED ELYSEES second and RULE THEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 29.8% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 14.6% | 6.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 12.5% | 7.97 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | RULE THEE | 9.0% | 11.10 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 8.9% | 11.25 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 5.9% | 16.97 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.7% | 21.17 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 4.7% | 21.34 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 3.3% | 30.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 3.2% | 31.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 1.8% | 56.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 1.6% | 61.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 35
PLACE
1 44
6 16.5
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,6 353.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 122.5
1,8 134.5
6,8 52.5
FORECAST
6,1 345
TIERCE
6,1,8 2,256
TRIO
1,6,8 656
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 672
QUARTET
6,1,8,10 12,119
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 257.5
5/6 458