Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA Closed strongly CP- 1.48.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HOME WIN Closed strongly CP B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 2 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 4 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B1 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 5 | 36.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BABY STORM Led early H/TT K H Chan · L Ho | K H Chan | L Ho | 7 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 3 | 9.5 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 48.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHARITYDREAM H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STRAPPING BAUHINIA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-3/4, with VIRTUS STAR second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite VIRTUS STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 17.8% | 5.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BABY STORM | 15.9% | 6.29 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 13.5% | 7.39 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM | 13.2% | 7.58 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HOME WIN | 11.5% | 8.73 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 6.2% | 16.26 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 5.5% | 18.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.3% | 18.81 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 4.4% | 22.73 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 3.4% | 29.84 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 3.3% | 30.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 348.5
PLACE
1 17.5
11 14.5
12 81
QUINELLA
11,12 615
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 36.5
1,12 231
11,12 181.5
FORECAST
12,11 1,840
TIERCE
12,11,1 8,940
TRIO
1,11,12 643
FIRST 4
1,2,11,12 870
QUARTET
12,11,1,2 34,022
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A1 —
A2 —