Happy Valley · 2020-09-23
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JAZZ STEED, ridden by C Schofield and trained by C Fownes, won by DH, with SHINING ON second and SUPER EIGHTEEN third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JAZZ STEED TT1 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 9 | 3.1 | DH |
| 1 | 12 | SHINING ON 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.1 | DH |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 25.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET CP-/B2 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DESTIN B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | NOBLE MAN E/B1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 78.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | HELAKU KNIGHT N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 11 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SEVENTH SEA SR A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 12 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | ATHENA H1/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TELECOM ROCKET | 27.7% | 3.61 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | JAZZ STEED | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 9.8% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | SHINING ON | 9.2% | 10.92 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | BULLISH BROTHER | 8.0% | 12.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE | 6.7% | 14.88 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 6.5% | 15.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | DESTIN | 6.0% | 16.80 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | ATHENA | 5.1% | 19.71 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | SEVENTH SEA | 3.9% | 25.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | NOBLE MAN | 3.9% | 25.77 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.8% | 56.94 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 15.5
12 26
PLACE
4 15
11 67.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
4,12 100
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 163.5
4,12 34
11,12 135
FORECAST
4,12 66
12,4 95
TIERCE
4,12,11 909
12,4,11 1,495
TRIO
4,11,12 463
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 461
QUARTET
4,12,11,5 3,621
12,4,11,5 5,067
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/4 993
12/12 1,238.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —