沙田 · 2020-10-01
第 6場
2020-10-01沙田第6場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、K W Lui訓練的FOX CHEUNGER勝出，贏出1-1/4。FOR FUN'S SAKE獲得亞軍；MONEYMORE獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門TELECOM MISSILE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 3 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | FOR FUN'S SAKE H A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MONEYMORE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | TELECOM MISSILE B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SPICY REALLY V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | COOL ACE H-/CP2 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 92.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SPEEDY DRAGON B- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 6 | 9.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 11 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | THE ABRAXAS B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 5.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | EVER STRONG P C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 13 | 67.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR V M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 107.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 56.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FOX CHEUNGER | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM MISSILE | 23.7% | 4.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | MONEYMORE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | THE ABRAXAS | 5.4% | 18.65 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | SPICY REALLY | 5.1% | 19.66 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 5.0% | 19.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | FIRE AND GOLD | 4.2% | 23.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE | 4.0% | 25.15 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 3.7% | 27.03 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | EVER STRONG | 3.7% | 27.22 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.12 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.6% | 38.80 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.9% | 51.76 | 13 |
| 14 | 4 | COOL ACE | 1.1% | 92.21 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 90
PLACE
3 38
8 18.5
10 30.5
QUINELLA
3,10 698.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 139
3,10 213
8,10 71.5
FORECAST
10,3 1,381
TIERCE
10,3,8 7,359
TRIO
3,8,10 1,273
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 498
QUARTET
10,3,8,2 18,400
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 39
1/10 133.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,4,6/3,8,10 631,726
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/1,4,6/Any Combination 934