沙田 · 2020-10-01
第 9場
2020-10-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CIRCUIT HASSLER勝出，贏出3/4。HEZA BEAUTY獲得亞軍；TRUST ME獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門HEZA BEAUTY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CIRCUIT HASSLER 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.20.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | TRUST ME B-/H2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | GLORIOUS LOVER 後段發力 B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FLYING MIGHTY 後段發力 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE 後段發力 B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH H/XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 60.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 7 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | WHAT A LEGEND 早段領放 B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 73.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | MARVEL DRAGON B1/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 7.1 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 6 | PRIVATE COUNCIL V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HEZA BEAUTY | 30.6% | 3.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | WORLD FAMOUS | 11.2% | 8.95 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | MARVEL DRAGON | 10.1% | 9.93 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE | 8.1% | 12.36 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.1% | 16.43 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | TRUST ME | 4.3% | 23.48 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 4.3% | 23.49 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | WHAT A LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.86 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 3.4% | 29.10 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING MIGHTY | 2.1% | 48.38 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.5% | 65.68 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 63.5
PLACE
9 56.5
10 20
11 15
QUINELLA
10,11 88
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 214.5
9,11 138
10,11 36.5
FORECAST
10,11 269
TIERCE
10,11,9 2,734
TRIO
9,10,11 630
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 1,480
QUARTET
10,11,9,8 31,100
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/10 354
1/11 22.5