Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-10-01

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CIRCUIT HASSLER Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.20.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 6.3 3/4
2 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size 8 2.9 3/4
3 0 TRUST ME B-/H2 K C Leung · C H Yip 6 22.0 2-1/2
4 0 GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui 5 12.0 4-3/4
5 0 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B Shinn · D J Hall 11 18.0 4-3/4
6 0 CALIFORNIA LEVEE Closed strongly B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 9 21.0 5-3/4
7 0 UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 12 5.6 6
8 0 WISDOM PATCH H/XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 60.0 7-1/2
9 0 FLYING VICTORY H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor 7 18.0 9-1/4
10 0 WHAT A LEGEND Led early B C Wong · K H Ting 1 73.0 11-3/4
11 0 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 2 11.0 14-1/2
12 0 MARVEL DRAGON B1/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung 10 7.1 15-1/2
— 0 PRIVATE COUNCIL V Borges · D A Hayes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT HASSLER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with HEZA BEAUTY second and TRUST ME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite HEZA BEAUTY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT HASSLER—2. HEZA BEAUTY+0.75L3. TRUST ME+2.5L4. GLORIOUS LOVER+4.75L5. FLYING MIGHTY+4.75L6. CALIFORNIA LEVEE+5.75L7. UNCLE STEVE+6L8. WISDOM PATCH+7.5L9. FLYING VICTORY+9.25L10. WHAT A LEGEND+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick HEZA BEAUTY (30.6%) finished 2nd — the winner CIRCUIT HASSLER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY 30.6% 3.26 2
2 0 CIRCUIT HASSLER 14.9% 6.70 1
3 0 WORLD FAMOUS 11.2% 8.95 11
4 0 MARVEL DRAGON 10.1% 9.93 12
5 0 UNCLE STEVE 8.1% 12.36 7
6 0 FLYING VICTORY 6.1% 16.43 9
7 0 TRUST ME 4.3% 23.48 3
8 0 CALIFORNIA LEVEE 4.3% 23.49 6
9 0 WHAT A LEGEND 3.5% 28.86 10
10 0 GLORIOUS LOVER 3.4% 29.10 4
11 0 FLYING MIGHTY 2.1% 48.38 5
12 0 WISDOM PATCH 1.5% 65.68 8
HEZA BEAUTYCIRCUIT HASSLER — wonWORLD FAMOUSMARVEL DRAGONUNCLE STEVEFLYING VICTORYTRUST MECALIFORNIA LEVEEWHAT A LEGENDGLORIOUS LOVERFLYING MIGHTYWISDOM PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 63.5

PLACE

9 56.5

10 20

11 15

QUINELLA

10,11 88

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 214.5

9,11 138

10,11 36.5

FORECAST

10,11 269

TIERCE

10,11,9 2,734

TRIO

9,10,11 630

FIRST 4

8,9,10,11 1,480

QUARTET

10,11,9,8 31,100

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 29

8TH DOUBLE

1/10 354

1/11 22.5