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Sha Tin · 2020-10-01

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1000m Course B 7 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Group 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. COMPUTER PATCH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-3/4, with JOLLY BANNER second and GOLD CHEST third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.55.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COMPUTER PATCH TT 0.55.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 7 1.9 2-3/4
2 3 JOLLY BANNER B M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 18.0 2-3/4
3 5 GOLD CHEST CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson 5 4.8 4-3/4
4 2 BIG PARTY Z Purton · F C Lor 1 4.7 7
5 1 WISHFUL THINKER B K C Leung · C H Yip 4 29.0 10-1/2
6 7 YEE CHEONG BABY P-/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard 2 24.0 15-1/4
7 6 VICTORIAM C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 7.2 18-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COMPUTER PATCH—2. JOLLY BANNER+2.75L3. GOLD CHEST+4.75L4. BIG PARTY+7L5. WISHFUL THINKER+10.5L6. YEE CHEONG BABY+15.25L7. VICTORIAM+18.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick COMPUTER PATCH (42.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 COMPUTER PATCH 42.9% 2.33 1
2 2 BIG PARTY 18.2% 5.50 4
3 6 VICTORIAM 17.1% 5.83 7
4 5 GOLD CHEST 9.9% 10.05 3
5 3 JOLLY BANNER 5.5% 18.30 2
6 1 WISHFUL THINKER 3.6% 27.57 5
7 7 YEE CHEONG BABY 2.8% 36.25 6
COMPUTER PATCH — wonBIG PARTYVICTORIAMGOLD CHESTJOLLY BANNERWISHFUL THINKERYEE CHEONG BABY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 19

PLACE

3 26

4 11

5 14

QUINELLA

3,4 149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 42

3,5 69

4,5 19

FORECAST

4,3 131

TIERCE

4,3,5 411

TRIO

3,4,5 107

FIRST 4

2,3,4,5 69

QUARTET

4,3,5,2 1,001

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,10/3,4,5 15,091

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 19

6TH DOUBLE

10/3 194.5

10/4 275

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99