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Sha Tin · 2020-10-01

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course B 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.65
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LONDON HALL Closed strongly B 1.47.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall 1 8.4 N
2 0 VINCY Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 4 3.0 N
3 0 GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 8 4.2 N
4 0 XIANG BAI QI B C L Chau · D E Ferraris 2 14.0 1-1/4
5 0 MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte 7 10.0 2-1/4
6 0 HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 5.4 2-1/2
7 0 TANGMERE TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 9.3 3-3/4
8 0 DIVINE UNICORN Led early TT V Borges · W Y So 5 15.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LONDON HALL, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with VINCY second and GOD OF DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite VINCY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LONDON HALL—2. VINCY+0.05L3. GOD OF DRAGON+0.05L4. XIANG BAI QI+1.25L5. MORE THAN A HORSE+2.25L6. HAPPY SEBRING+2.5L7. TANGMERE+3.75L8. DIVINE UNICORN+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick HAPPY SEBRING (25.3%) finished 6th — the winner LONDON HALL was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY SEBRING 25.3% 3.95 6
2 0 VINCY 18.7% 5.35 2
3 0 TANGMERE 17.7% 5.65 7
4 0 GOD OF DRAGON 12.4% 8.05 3
5 0 LONDON HALL 8.3% 12.12 1
6 0 XIANG BAI QI 7.4% 13.60 4
7 0 DIVINE UNICORN 5.5% 18.12 8
8 0 MORE THAN A HORSE 4.7% 21.09 5
HAPPY SEBRINGVINCYTANGMEREGOD OF DRAGONLONDON HALL — wonXIANG BAI QIDIVINE UNICORNMORE THAN A HORSE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 84.5

PLACE

2 21.5

4 14.5

5 14

QUINELLA

2,5 145.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 57

2,5 51

4,5 29.5

FORECAST

2,5 325

TIERCE

2,5,4 1,393

TRIO

2,4,5 147

FIRST 4

2,4,5,6 386

QUARTET

2,5,4,6 10,362

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 191

1/5 12.5

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 36

A2 —