Sha Tin · 2020-10-01
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY FIELD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with KEEP YOU WARM second and TAKE WHAT YOU NEED third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 1.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT H-/B1/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | MOERAKI B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 6 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 8 | POWER KING C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 60.9% | 1.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 15.4% | 6.50 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 14.0% | 7.14 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | MASTER ALBERT | 3.4% | 29.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | MOERAKI | 3.2% | 30.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | KEEP YOU WARM | 2.6% | 38.28 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | HONGKONG GREAT | 0.5% | 209.72 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 12.5
PLACE
1 10.1
4 14.5
6 34.5
QUINELLA
1,6 97
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 16.5
1,6 37
4,6 75
FORECAST
1,6 123
TIERCE
1,6,4 304
TRIO
1,4,6 97
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 59
QUARTET
1,6,4,3 757
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 75.5
4/6 291