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Sha Tin · 2020-10-01

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SKY FIELD TT 1.08.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 3 1.2 3/4
2 0 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui 7 32.0 3/4
3 0 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 5.9 2-1/4
4 0 HIGH RISE SOLDIER B/BR Z Purton · K W Lui 2 9.0 3-1/2
5 0 MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So 4 41.0 3-1/2
6 0 HONGKONG GREAT H-/B1/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 5 29.0 8
7 0 MOERAKI B M F Poon · K H Ting 6 22.0 8-3/4
— 0 POWER KING C Y Ho · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY FIELD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with KEEP YOU WARM second and TAKE WHAT YOU NEED third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY FIELD—2. KEEP YOU WARM+0.75L3. TAKE WHAT YOU NEED+2.25L4. HIGH RISE SOLDIER+3.5L5. MASTER ALBERT+3.5L6. HONGKONG GREAT+8L7. MOERAKI+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SKY FIELD (60.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SKY FIELD 60.9% 1.64 1
2 0 HIGH RISE SOLDIER 15.4% 6.50 4
3 0 TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 14.0% 7.14 3
4 0 MASTER ALBERT 3.4% 29.51 5
5 0 MOERAKI 3.2% 30.83 7
6 0 KEEP YOU WARM 2.6% 38.28 2
7 0 HONGKONG GREAT 0.5% 209.72 6
SKY FIELD — wonHIGH RISE SOLDIERTAKE WHAT YOU NEEDMASTER ALBERTMOERAKIKEEP YOU WARMHONGKONG GREAT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 12.5

PLACE

1 10.1

4 14.5

6 34.5

QUINELLA

1,6 97

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 16.5

1,6 37

4,6 75

FORECAST

1,6 123

TIERCE

1,6,4 304

TRIO

1,4,6 97

FIRST 4

1,3,4,6 59

QUARTET

1,6,4,3 757

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 12.5

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

4/1 75.5

4/6 291

← Race 4 Race 6 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data