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Sha Tin · 2020-10-01

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ANGEL OF MY EYES Closed strongly TT 1.21.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 5 3.3 HD
2 0 MIGHTY POWER BO C Schofield · D A Hayes 9 6.1 HD
3 0 SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall 1 2.8 2
4 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 7.2 2-1/2
5 0 SUPER KIN TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 10.0 2-3/4
6 0 VIGOR CHAMP B M F Poon · K H Ting 10 37.0 6
7 0 ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · T P Yung 7 114.0 7
8 0 MY FAMILY H T Mo · Y S Tsui 4 131.0 7
9 0 HANG'S DECISION B K Teetan · W Y So 11 13.0 8-1/4
10 0 CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man 8 51.0 11-1/2
11 0 LUCKY TURBO B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 3 108.0 13

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ANGEL OF MY EYES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with MIGHTY POWER second and SUMSTREETSUMWHERE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SUMSTREETSUMWHERE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ANGEL OF MY EYES—2. MIGHTY POWER+0.2L3. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE+2L4. SEAWEED FORTUNE+2.5L5. SUPER KIN+2.75L6. VIGOR CHAMP+6L7. ALLOY STAR+7L8. MY FAMILY+7L9. HANG'S DECISION+8.25L10. CARE FREE PRINCE+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick ANGEL OF MY EYES (26.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ANGEL OF MY EYES 26.8% 3.73 1
2 0 SUMSTREETSUMWHERE 22.2% 4.51 3
3 0 SUPER KIN 14.7% 6.80 5
4 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE 10.9% 9.14 4
5 0 MIGHTY POWER 9.6% 10.38 2
6 0 VIGOR CHAMP 5.1% 19.50 6
7 0 HANG'S DECISION 4.0% 24.93 9
8 0 CARE FREE PRINCE 3.3% 30.35 10
9 0 MY FAMILY 1.9% 52.40 8
10 0 ALLOY STAR 0.8% 120.36 7
11 0 LUCKY TURBO 0.6% 166.29 11
ANGEL OF MY EYES — wonSUMSTREETSUMWHERESUPER KINSEAWEED FORTUNEMIGHTY POWERVIGOR CHAMPHANG'S DECISIONCARE FREE PRINCEMY FAMILYALLOY STARLUCKY TURBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 33

PLACE

1 14.5

4 12.5

6 17.5

QUINELLA

1,6 122.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 25

1,6 42

4,6 30.5

FORECAST

1,6 180

TIERCE

1,6,4 553

TRIO

1,4,6 80

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 85

QUARTET

1,6,4,5 1,582

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 21.5

7TH DOUBLE

4/1 66

4/6 14