Sha Tin · 2020-10-01
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ANGEL OF MY EYES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with MIGHTY POWER second and SUMSTREETSUMWHERE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SUMSTREETSUMWHERE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ANGEL OF MY EYES Closed strongly TT 1.21.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.3 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | MIGHTY POWER BO C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 6.1 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 1 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER KIN TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 114.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | MY FAMILY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 131.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 8 | 51.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 108.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 26.8% | 3.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 22.2% | 4.51 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER KIN | 14.7% | 6.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 10.9% | 9.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | MIGHTY POWER | 9.6% | 10.38 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP | 5.1% | 19.50 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION | 4.0% | 24.93 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.3% | 30.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | MY FAMILY | 1.9% | 52.40 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | ALLOY STAR | 0.8% | 120.36 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY TURBO | 0.6% | 166.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33
PLACE
1 14.5
4 12.5
6 17.5
QUINELLA
1,6 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 25
1,6 42
4,6 30.5
FORECAST
1,6 180
TIERCE
1,6,4 553
TRIO
1,4,6 80
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 85
QUARTET
1,6,4,5 1,582
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 66
4/6 14