Sha Tin · 2020-10-01
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HARD PROMISE second and LUCKY QUALITY third. The 3.0 favourite EASY FIT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT CP1 1.09.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.7 | N |
| 2 | 5 | HARD PROMISE CP-/TT2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY QUALITY C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HERO STAR TT1 N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 8 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | EASY FIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 3.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING SPIRIT XB M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 10 | 101.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY PUZZLE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 106.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PLANET FLYER B C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 6 | 198.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EASY FIT | 26.8% | 3.72 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY QUALITY | 16.0% | 6.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 16.0% | 6.26 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HERO STAR | 15.3% | 6.53 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE | 12.5% | 7.99 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 7.8% | 12.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | HARD PROMISE | 2.9% | 34.06 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | FLYING SPIRIT | 1.4% | 70.36 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 0.7% | 138.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | PLANET FLYER | 0.4% | 224.62 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 57.5
PLACE
2 23.5
4 20.5
5 20.5
QUINELLA
4,5 211.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 70.5
2,5 96
4,5 67.5
FORECAST
4,5 455
TIERCE
4,5,2 2,626
TRIO
2,4,5 585
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 257
QUARTET
4,5,2,6 7,244
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/2,4,5 18,943
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/4 636.5
5/5 170.5