Sha Tin · 2020-10-01
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with NOT USUAL TALENT second and STAR SHINE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MIGHTY GIANT Wire to wire B 1.20.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 13 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 11 | 45.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | BALLISTIC KING Closed strongly A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 1 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT XB/CP1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 9.7 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | AMAZING ONE PLUS H/XB/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 29.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAR SLAM H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 2 | 191.0 | 14 |
| — | 2 | MONGOLIAN KING K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | KING OPIE V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MIGHTY GIANT | 36.9% | 2.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 13.6% | 7.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 12.1% | 8.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR SHINE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | BALLISTIC KING | 6.8% | 14.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 6.1% | 16.34 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 5.0% | 19.96 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.0% | 33.27 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.5% | 40.43 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 2.4% | 41.07 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.0% | 49.24 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAR SLAM | 1.6% | 61.14 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 24
PLACE
4 102
5 25.5
8 13.5
QUINELLA
4,8 457.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 639
4,8 169.5
5,8 51.5
FORECAST
8,4 766
TIERCE
8,4,5 5,753
TRIO
4,5,8 1,462
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 1,627
QUARTET
8,4,5,7 26,726
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/4,5>2,8,10 101,686
9TH DOUBLE
10/2,8,10 145.5
10/4 615
SIX UP
1,6/3,10/3,4/1,6/10,11/2,4,8,10 808
1/10/4/1/10/2,8,10 7,522
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/10/2,8,10 708
1/10/4 4,063